Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al-Jazira are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ajman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60