Al Jazira U23vs
Ittihad Kalba U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 10/19/2026, 1:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Jazira U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Jazira U23 3-1 Ittihad Kalba U23
Original prediction
Al Jazira U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.3% | 42.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 25.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.3% | 32.3% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Jazira U23
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Al Jazira U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60