Al Jazira Al Hamravs
Forte Virtus
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 9/23/2026, 2:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forte Virtus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-0 Forte Virtus
Original prediction
Forte Virtus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.3% | 35.3% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.0% | 36.6% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Forte Virtus
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Forte Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/1.00