GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/9/2026, 1:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dibba Al-Fujairah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-2 Dibba Al-Fujairah

Original prediction

Dibba Al-Fujairah

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home7.0112.8%18.8%6.0 pts
Draw4.4920.0%21.1%1.1 pts
Away1.3367.2%60.1%-7.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.1–38%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

Dibba Al-Fujairah

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Dibba Al-Fujairah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Jazira Al HamraLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dibba Al-FujairahLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al Jazira Al HamraDibba Al-Fujairah
13.3Attack91.7
20.0Defence41.7
13.3Form75.0
19.3Power69.6
1.17xG2.62
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