GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Bataeh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-0 Al Bataeh

Original prediction

Al Bataeh

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.6413.5%27.0%13.5 pts
Draw4.5719.6%24.9%5.3 pts
Away1.3466.9%48.1%-18.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-18.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–17%

Predicted outcome

Al Bataeh

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Al Bataeh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Jazira Al HamraLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al BataehWDDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al Jazira Al HamraAl Bataeh
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power80.3
1.39xG1.82
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