GGOALVIO

Jordan · League · 10/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Jazeera · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Jazeera 0-1 Al Wihdat

Original prediction

Al Jazeera

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.9718.2%39.6%21.3 pts
Draw3.5525.5%27.5%2.0 pts
Away1.6156.3%33.0%-23.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

21.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–114%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Al Jazeera

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Al Jazeera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al JazeeraDDWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al WihdatLDDDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Al JazeeraAl Wihdat
66.7Attack0.0
88.9Defence88.9
55.6Form22.2
66.4Power40.2
1.44xG0.80
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