Al Jazeeravs
Al Faisaly
COMPLETEDJordan · League · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Faisaly · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Jazeera 2-2 Al Faisaly
Original prediction
Al Faisaly
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.68 | 11.8% | 30.9% | 19.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 20.0% | 25.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 68.1% | 43.8% | -24.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Faisaly
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Al Faisaly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00