Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Saqer · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Jandal 1-1 Al Saqer
Original prediction
Al Saqer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.2% | 34.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.2% | 28.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.6% | 36.9% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Al Saqer
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Al Saqer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al JandalLWLLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Al SaqerD
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Al JandalAl Saqer
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.17xG1.23