GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/9/2026, 4:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Jandal 4-1 Al Bukayriyah

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5635.6%34.8%-0.8 pts
Draw3.0330.0%29.8%-0.2 pts
Away2.6434.4%35.4%1.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.0–112%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.8%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al JandalLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Al BukayriyahLDDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al JandalAl Bukayriyah
33.3Attack11.1
44.4Defence77.8
11.1Form22.2
32.9Power40.2
1.05xG1.08
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