Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kazma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Jahra 0-1 Kazma
Original prediction
Kazma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.78 | 11.5% | 26.2% | 14.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.1% | 24.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.4% | 49.1% | -19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Kazma
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Kazma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al JahraDLWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KazmaLDWDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al JahraKazma
41.7Attack58.3
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form66.7
44.6Power66.3
1.21xG1.56