GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 8/27/2026, 4:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Jabalain · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Jeel

Original prediction

Al Jabalain

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5757.8%43.3%-14.5 pts
Draw3.6724.7%27.6%2.9 pts
Away5.2117.4%29.1%11.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Al Jabalain

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Al Jabalain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al JabalainLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Al JeelL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Al JabalainAl Jeel
33.3Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power15.3
1.37xG1.17
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