Al Ittihadvs
El Gouna FC
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ittihad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Ittihad 1-0 El Gouna FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ittihad 2-1 El Gouna FC
Original prediction
Al Ittihad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.9% | 49.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.4% | 30.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 19.7% | 20.5% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Al Ittihad 1–0 El Gouna FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Al Ittihad
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Al Ittihad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al IttihadLWWWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
El Gouna FCLLLLD
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al IttihadEl Gouna FC
40.0Attack20.0
80.0Defence60.0
66.7Form13.3
63.7Power34.4
1.21xG0.54