Al Ittihadvs
Ceramica Cleopatra
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ittihad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ittihad 1-3 Ceramica Cleopatra
Original prediction
Al Ittihad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.9% | 37.5% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.9% | 30.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.3% | 31.8% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Al Ittihad
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Al Ittihad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00