Al Ittihadvs
Asyut Petrol
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 9/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ittihad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Ittihad 0-0 Asyut Petrol, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Ittihad 1-0 Asyut Petrol
Original prediction
Al Ittihad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.7% | 41.4% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.9% | 31.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.95 | 18.4% | 27.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Ittihad 0–0 Asyut Petrol
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Al Ittihad
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Al Ittihad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al IttihadWLDDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Asyut PetrolLDDWD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Al IttihadAsyut Petrol
33.3Attack11.1
66.7Defence77.8
44.4Form22.2
49.5Power40.2
0.96xG0.77