GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 2/13/2024, 1:25:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Khorfakkan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaLLDWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KhorfakkanWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaKhorfakkan
66.7Attack45.3
33.3Defence30.7
33.3Form30.7
45.3Power38.0
2.46xG1.32
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