GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/6/2023, 1:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Hatta SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

72.2%

Model confidence

72.2%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaWLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Hatta SCLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaHatta SC
66.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence29.2
33.3Form13.9
45.3Power26.1
2.60xG0.80
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