GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/6/2024, 2:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Emirates Club are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Emirates ClubDDDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaEmirates Club
66.7Attack39.1
33.3Defence26.1
33.3Form24.6
45.3Power32.6
2.66xG1.12
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