GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/25/2024, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Baniyas SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Baniyas SCLDLLW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaBaniyas SC
66.7Attack43.1
33.3Defence38.9
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power40.7
2.15xG1.26
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