GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 4/15/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Al Wahda FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al Wahda FCWDWWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaAl Wahda FC
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
2.06xG1.48
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