Al-Ittihad Kalbavs
Al-Jazira
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 10/18/2026, 1:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ittihad Kalba 2-2 Al-Jazira
Original prediction
Al-Jazira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.30 | 17.2% | 17.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.4% | 20.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 61.4% | 62.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20