GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 12/7/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Al-JaziraWDWWW

GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaAl-Jazira
66.7Attack64.0
33.3Defence38.7
33.3Form42.7
45.3Power49.2
2.10xG1.93
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