GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/23/2023, 1:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Al-JaziraLWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Al-Ittihad KalbaAl-Jazira
66.7Attack64.0
33.3Defence38.7
33.3Form42.7
45.3Power49.2
2.10xG1.93
View match centre →