Al-Ittihad Kalbavs
Al Ain
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 9/4/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ittihad Kalba 0-2 Al Ain
Original prediction
Al Ain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.92 | 7.6% | 19.0% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.46 | 14.1% | 20.7% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 78.3% | 60.3% | -18.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00