GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 1/5/2025, 3:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad Kalba are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ajman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajman

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad KalbaDDDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AjmanWLLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaAjman
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.66xG1.82
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