Al-Ittihad FCvs
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/13/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ittihad FC 1-2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.8% | 43.7% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.0% | 26.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.1% | 29.7% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–07%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00