GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/18/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Al-Ittihad FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olmaliq are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad FC hold a 65.2-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.9% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Al-Ittihad FC holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad FC

Probability

78.9%

Model confidence

78.9%

Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Ittihad FCWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
OlmaliqDDWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al-Ittihad FCOlmaliq
100.0Attack29.2
66.7Defence8.3
100.0Form25.0
88.7Power23.4
3.07xG0.77
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