Al-Ittihad FCvs
Al Shabab
POSTPONEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.7% | 58.3% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.1% | 22.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 25.2% | 19.4% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-Ittihad FCLLDWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Al ShababWDLLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Ittihad FCAl Shabab
58.3Attack37.5
62.5Defence54.2
70.8Form29.2
66.8Power41.6
1.85xG0.81