Al-Ittihad FCvs
Al-Fayha
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al-Fayha
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 67.3% | 57.9% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 19.0% | 22.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.70 | 13.7% | 19.2% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80