Al-Ittihad FCvs
Al Diriyah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/23/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al-Ittihad FC 1-0 Al Diriyah, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Ittihad FC 2-0 Al Diriyah
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 52.2% | 48.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.9% | 27.5% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.70 | 24.9% | 23.7% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Projected Score
Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al Diriyah
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00