Al-Hilal Saudi FCvs
NEOM
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0-2 NEOM
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 78.5% | 59.1% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.47 | 14.3% | 22.1% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 12.94 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80