Al-Hilal Saudi FCvs
Al-Ittihad FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-2 Al-Ittihad FC
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 72.9% | 56.5% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.80 | 15.9% | 22.4% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 8.18 | 11.2% | 21.1% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80