Al-Hilal Saudi FCvs
Al-Hazm
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-0 Al-Hazm
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 88.8% | 79.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 12.38 | 7.5% | 13.0% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 25.28 | 3.7% | 7.7% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
79.3%
Model confidence
79.3%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40