Al-Hilal Saudi FCvs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Original prediction
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 62.1% | 49.9% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.9% | 24.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.40 | 17.1% | 25.8% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80