Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hidd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hidd 0-1 Al Ahli
Original prediction
Al-Hidd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.1% | 42.5% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.2% | 28.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.7% | 29.2% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hidd
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Al-Hidd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-HiddWWWLL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al AhliDDLWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-HiddAl Ahli
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.67xG1.02