Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NEOM · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hazm 1-1 NEOM
Original prediction
NEOM
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.20 | 21.9% | 21.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.3% | 25.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 53.8% | 53.2% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
NEOM
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
NEOM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-HazmLWDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NEOMWWWLL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-HazmNEOM
33.3Attack61.9
57.1Defence71.4
38.1Form71.4
45.8Power68.5
0.80xG1.54