Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hazm · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hazm 1-0 Al Taawon
Original prediction
Al-Hazm
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.7% | 36.6% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.3% | 28.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.1% | 34.4% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hazm
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Al-Hazm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-HazmDDLLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al TaawonDLDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-HazmAl Taawon
33.3Attack20.0
60.0Defence66.7
33.3Form20.0
45.2Power38.7
1.13xG0.92