Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hazm · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hazm 2-2 Al-Fayha
Original prediction
Al-Hazm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.4% | 41.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.1% | 29.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.6% | 29.2% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hazm
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Al-Hazm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-HazmLLDLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-FayhaLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-HazmAl-Fayha
33.3Attack33.3
53.3Defence43.3
30.0Form23.3
41.8Power36.3
1.24xG0.84