Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Hazm · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al-Hazm 1-0 Al-Fateh, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Hazm 2-3 Al-Fateh
Original prediction
Al-Hazm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.0% | 51.3% | 13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.2% | 25.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.9% | 23.3% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Projected Score
Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Fateh
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Al-Hazm
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Al-Hazm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-HazmDLWDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al-FatehLLLDD
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-HazmAl-Fateh
33.3Attack16.7
58.3Defence37.5
37.5Form12.5
46.0Power25.7
1.50xG0.71