Al Hamriyahvs
Forte Virtus
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 8/30/2026, 3:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forte Virtus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Hamriyah 1-0 Forte Virtus
Original prediction
Forte Virtus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.4% | 36.7% | -18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 26.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.0% | 37.3% | 17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Forte Virtus
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Forte Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00