Al Hamriyahvs
Al Urooba
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Hamriyah · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Hamriyah 0-3 Al Urooba
Original prediction
Al Hamriyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.3% | 38.1% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.6% | 26.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.1% | 34.9% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Al Hamriyah
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Al Hamriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00