Al Hamriyahvs
Al Thaid
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 9/22/2026, 2:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Hamriyah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Hamriyah 1-2 Al Thaid
Original prediction
Al Hamriyah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.1% | 39.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 32.9% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Hamriyah
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Al Hamriyah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20