Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Najma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Hala are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Al Najma are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Najma hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (33.9 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Premier League, while Al Najma holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Najma
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Al Najma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00