Al-Gharafavs
Al-Rayyan SC
COMPLETEDQatar · Stars League · 10/18/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Gharafa 0-0 Al-Rayyan SC
Original prediction
Al-Rayyan SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.76 | 18.9% | 20.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.4% | 21.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 59.6% | 58.8% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Al-Rayyan SC
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60