GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 8/26/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Gharafa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Al-Gharafa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Al-Markhiya are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Gharafa hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.3% in the Stars League, while Al-Gharafa holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Gharafa

Probability

88.3%

Model confidence

88.3%

Al-Gharafa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-GharafaDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Al-MarkhiyaL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Al-GharafaAl-Markhiya
84.1Attack30.2
44.4Defence22.2
69.8Form27.0
66.8Power29.5
4.50xG0.84
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