GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 10/4/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Fujairah SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Fujairah SC 1-1 Dibba Al Hisn

Original prediction

Al Fujairah SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.9430.8%42.0%11.1 pts
Draw3.4826.1%26.7%0.6 pts
Away2.1143.1%31.4%-11.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Al Fujairah SC

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Al Fujairah SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Fujairah SCWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dibba Al HisnDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al Fujairah SCDibba Al Hisn
100.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power45.3
1.84xG1.10
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