GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 9/29/2026, 2:35:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Fujairah SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Fujairah SC 4-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra

Original prediction

Al Fujairah SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3666.0%39.5%-26.5 pts
Draw4.5519.8%26.3%6.5 pts
Away6.3614.1%34.1%20.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-26.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Al Fujairah SC

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Al Fujairah SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Fujairah SCWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al Jazira Al HamraWLDLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al Fujairah SCAl Jazira Al Hamra
0.0Attack55.6
66.7Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power66.7
1.08xG1.46
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