GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/3/2026, 3:55:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Kholood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Fayha 2-2 Al Kholood

Original prediction

Al Kholood

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8832.0%29.0%-3.0 pts
Draw3.1729.1%26.3%-2.8 pts
Away2.3738.9%44.7%5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

Al Kholood

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Al Kholood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-FayhaWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al KholoodWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al-FayhaAl Kholood
33.3Attack66.7
41.7Defence58.3
33.3Form66.7
39.1Power66.3
1.20xG1.79
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