Al-Fayhavs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/19/2026, 3:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Fayha 2-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.20 | 12.8% | 13.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.7% | 18.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 68.5% | 68.4% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00