Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Taawon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al-Fateh are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Al Taawon are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Taawon hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Pro League, while Al Taawon holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Taawon
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Al Taawon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 0.67/0.00
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50