Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Fateh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 12:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Al-Fateh
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Al-Fateh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-FatehLLDDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al RiyadhWDLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-FatehAl Riyadh
19.0Attack38.1
47.6Defence23.8
14.3Form38.1
30.2Power35.9
1.45xG1.21